Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+102/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be much more involved in his offense's pass game this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.9% in games he has played).
Kalif Raymond's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 67.5% to 72.5%.
Kalif Raymond's pass-game effectiveness has improved this season, compiling 9.04 yards-per-target compared to just 7.63 rate last season.
Kalif Raymond's talent in picking up extra yardage have improved this season, compiling 7.40 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 4.04 rate last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
Kalif Raymond has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

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