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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-893).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -637 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -893.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Miami Dolphins cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kalif Raymond has posted significantly fewer air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).

Kalif Raymond's 24.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 35.3.

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Kalif Raymond ranks in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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