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Kadarius Toney

Kadarius Toney Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Kadarius Toney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Kadarius Toney's 19.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 11.5.

Kadarius Toney's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year represents a a material boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 0.2 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

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