My Account Log Out

reorder

Kadarius Toney

Kadarius Toney Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kadarius Toney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Kadarius Toney's 2.2 adjusted catches per game this year shows a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 0.2 mark.

Kadarius Toney comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football, hauling in a terrific 75.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.

This year, the anemic Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 8th-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 5.5 points.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.

Kadarius Toney has run a route on 24.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 25th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Packers cornerbacks project as the 9th-best group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

More Kadarius Toney Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™