Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Kadarius Toney

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Kadarius Toney to earn 6.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
Kadarius Toney has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching a terrific 74.8% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
Kadarius Toney has been among the leading WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The New York Giants O-line has given their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.