Juwan Johnson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

My Account Log Out

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Touchdowns

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-317).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints have been the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.
The model projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 60.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Juwan Johnson has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 33.3% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Saints are favored this week, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
The Raiders pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.5%) versus TEs since the start of last season (72.5%).
Since the start of last season, the porous Raiders run defense has conceded a monstrous 1.26 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-highest rate in football.

More Juwan Johnson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow