Juwan Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 13, 2026 8:08 PM EST

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-124/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 62.2% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in football has been the Saints.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 135.7 total plays called: the most out of all the games this week.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Panthers defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

Juwan Johnson's 12.6% Target% this season marks a material drop-off in his passing offense volume over last season's 18.1% figure.
The Panthers pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.9%) vs. TEs this year (68.9%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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