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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

This week, Juwan Johnson is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.9 targets.

Our trusted projections expect Juwan Johnson to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (8.1% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.3% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.0 plays per game.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Denver's safety corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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