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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
  • With an impressive 64.1% Route Participation% (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Juwan Johnson has been among the TEs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers project as the 6th-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football (57.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
  • At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
  • Juwan Johnson profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching just 65.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile.

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