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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +136 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to garner 4.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game this week (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (7.7% in games he has played).

The New Orleans Saints O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.74 seconds before the pass (3rd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints have faced a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have called the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 61.3 plays per game.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.

Juwan Johnson has been among the bottom TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging just 1.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 17th percentile among tight ends.

Juwan Johnson's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.2% to 45.2%.

More Juwan Johnson Player Props

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