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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to earn 4.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.

Juwan Johnson has been among the worst TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a mere 1.2 receptions per game while grading out in the 11th percentile among TEs.

Juwan Johnson's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 63.2% to 38.0%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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