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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Juwan Johnson has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (70.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (34.8%).

THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to earn 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.

Juwan Johnson's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, notching 2.7 yards per game compared to a mere 1.1 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.1%) to TEs this year (63.1%).

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends project as the 4th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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