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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+165/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Juwan Johnson has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (70.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (34.8%).

Juwan Johnson's receiving skills have gotten better this year, averaging 2.4 yards per game vs just 1.1 last year.

Juwan Johnson's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 63.2% to 68.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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