Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this week's contest, Juwan Johnson is forecasted by the model to rank in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.0 targets.

Favors Under

With a 5-point advantage, the Saints are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
After averaging 45.0 air yards per game last year, Juwan Johnson has been a disappointment this year, now boasting 27.0 per game.
Juwan Johnson's 26.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 38.5.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.2%) vs. TEs this year (71.2%).

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