Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+106/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Saints to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (only 50.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Juwan Johnson to notch 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

Juwan Johnson's 32.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 38.5.
The Vikings pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (64.1%) versus TEs since the start of last season (64.1%).
The Vikings pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 6.60 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.

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