|
|
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.With a subpar 65.3% Adjusted Catch% (13th percentile) since the start of last season, Juwan Johnson places among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to TEs.Juwan Johnson is positioned as one of the worst TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 18th percentile.When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Dallas's collection of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
