Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are expected by the projections to run 67.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The New Orleans Saints have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 66.4 plays per game.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
The Colts defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (62.0) versus tight ends this year.

Favors Under

When talking about pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
The Colts pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.49 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in football.

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