Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

My Account Log Out

reorder

Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.98 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to accrue 4.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
Juwan Johnson has been among the leading tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 31.0 yards per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the NFL (74.8%) to TEs since the start of last season (74.8%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 11th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 7th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Juwan Johnson's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 67.7% to 62.9%.

More Juwan Johnson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow