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Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Justin Watson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

With a poor 53.6% Adjusted Catch% (4th percentile) since the start of last season, Justin Watson rates among the worst possession receivers in the league among wide receivers.

The Cincinnati Bengals cornerbacks profile as the 7th-best group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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