Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Messages Log Out

reorder

Justin Jefferson

NFL · Player Props

Justin Jefferson

WR · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2026

Updated Nov 15, 2026 8:47 AM EST

Analysis

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 84.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to call the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
With a remarkable 99.0% Route Participation% (100th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.

Favors Under

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 53.2 per game on average).
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 7.56 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.
The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

More Justin Jefferson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow