Justin Herbert TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

TD Passes

Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 4:18 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+162/-194).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical game plan.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in football (57.6% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers.
In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.84 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 7th-slowest in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers ranks as the worst in football this year.
Justin Herbert's 59.3% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a material reduction in his passing precision over last season's 64.8% rate.
With an atrocious rate of only 0.83 per game (21st percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the worst touchdown passers in the league this year.

More Justin Herbert Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow