Justin Herbert TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

TD Passes

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower run volume.

Favors Under

The Chargers are an enormous 8-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL in the red zone (52.5% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Chargers.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Chargers this year (only 55.4 per game on average).

More Justin Herbert Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow