Justin Herbert Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing TD

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 15, 2022 11:50 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Herbert Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+377/-758).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +432 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +377.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 65.3 plays per game.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Justin Herbert has rushed for 0.17 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (81st percentile).
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties project as the 32nd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 39.6% red zone run rate.
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Justin Herbert Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow