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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 257.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 261.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.
  • This year, the weak Ravens defense has surrendered a colossal 310.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the most in the league.
  • The Ravens pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, surrendering 8.47 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.
  • Justin Herbert's 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his passing proficiency over last year's 248.0 mark.
  • With a weak 62.6% Adjusted Completion% (23rd percentile) this year, Justin Herbert stands among the least accurate passers in the NFL.
  • The Ravens safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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