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Justin Herbert
NFL · Player Props
Justin Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
Passing Yards
Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC
NFL Props Justin Herbert Passing Yards

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 273.5 (+104/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 273.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 273.5 @ +104.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 38.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • Justin Herbert has been among the leading QBs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 299.0 yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have incorporated play action on 28.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
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