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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 282.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 281.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 282.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 42.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.

Justin Herbert has been among the worst per-play passers in football this year, averaging a lowly 6.59 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 16th percentile.

Opposing offenses have passed for the 10th-least yards in football (just 218.0 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.29 yards-per-target: the 10th-least in the NFL.

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