Justin Herbert Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 8:56 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 284.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 42.9 passes in this game, on average: the most of all QBs.

Favors Under

Justin Herbert has been among the least effective passers in the league this year, averaging just 6.49 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 18th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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