My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 253.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 261.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 253.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 40.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.

Justin Herbert has been among the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a stellar 283.0 yards per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

Justin Herbert has been among the least effective quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging just 6.46 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 21st percentile.

Opposing offenses have thrown for the 9th-least yards in the league (just 212.0 per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 7.21 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in the league.

More Justin Herbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™