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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 285.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 283.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 285.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 39.8 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have thrown for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 204.0 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 6.95 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in football.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.58 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the league.

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