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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Arizona's group of LBs has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Chargers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
  • In this week's game, Justin Herbert is projected by the model to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.8.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.

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