Justin Herbert Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Interceptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 9:16 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.
Tampa Bay's defense grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year when it comes to producing interceptions, averaging a measly 0.43 per game.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Chargers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
Justin Herbert has registered a mere 0.03 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among QBs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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