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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 63.4 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Herbert to attempt 40.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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