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Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders

Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Chargers this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

The projections expect Justin Herbert to throw 37.1 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.

The Chargers O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Washington Commanders defense has yielded a measly 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best rate in football.

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