Justin Herbert Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Completions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2025

Updated Sep 16, 2025 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Our trusted projections expect Justin Herbert to attempt 36.4 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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