Justin Herbert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 15, 2024 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Chargers as the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Carolina's DT corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
After taking on 14.1% of his team's rush attempts last season, Justin Herbert has had a smaller role in the ground game this season, currently comprising only 4.2%.

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