Justin Herbert Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Justin Herbert

NFL · Player Props

Justin Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Herbert Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-133).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 41.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
In this contest, Justin Herbert is projected by the predictive model to accrue the fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 3.1.

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