My Account Log Out

reorder

Justin Fields

Justin Fields TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Fields TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +163 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Justin Fields's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 60.3% to 63.3%.

The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 43.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 24.2 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.

More Justin Fields Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™