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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+120/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

In this contest, Justin Fields is predicted by the model to garner the fewest carries out of all QBs with 0.9.

Accounting for 29.1% of his team's rushing play calls last year (96th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Justin Fields's mobility marks him as a significant weapon on the ground.

With an excellent tally of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), Justin Fields stands among the top rushing QBs in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Atlanta's group of DTs has been outstanding last year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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