Justin Fields Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to run on 49.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
The projections expect Justin Fields to accumulate 9.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all quarterbacks.
While Justin Fields has earned 26.1% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Chicago's run game in this game at 32.2%.
The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.72 seconds per snap.
Justin Fields has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (37.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Justin Fields's 4.72 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a a material reduction in his running talent over last season's 7.34 figure.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up just 3.65 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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