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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to accumulate 9.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
  • Justin Fields isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 29.2% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among QBs.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • Justin Fields has generated 72.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among QBs (100th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
  • Justin Fields's rushing efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 5.94 yards-per-carry vs a 7.34 rate last season.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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