Justin Fields Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chicago Bears to run on 51.8% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
The model projects Justin Fields to accrue 10.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-most among all QBs.
Justin Fields isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 29.5% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.
When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears ranks as the 9th-best in football last year.
Favors Under
The model projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Justin Fields has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
Justin Fields's 5.49 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a substantial decrease in his running skills over last season's 7.34 mark.