Justin Fields Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 201.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 193.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 201.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Justin Fields has thrown for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (189.0) this season than he did last season (149.0).
This year, the porous Vikings defense has surrendered a staggering 73.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
In this game, Justin Fields is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 29.7.
Justin Fields profiles as one of the least on-target QBs in the NFL this year with a 61.9% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 19th percentile.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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