Justin Fields Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Pass Attempts

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 29, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Fields Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In this game, Justin Fields is predicted by the model to total the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.7.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

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