Justin Fields Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Pass Attempts

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 8, 2024 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Justin Fields Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 52.8% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Justin Fields to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

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