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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Justin Fields Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have intercepted 0.54 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-worst defense in the league by this metric
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 30.4 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.

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