Justin Fields Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Interceptions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The Lions safeties rank as the 4th-worst group of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bears to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
In this week's contest, Justin Fields is expected by the predictive model to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 27.0.
The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

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