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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

Justin Fields Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-168/+134).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Justin Fields has averaged 0.86 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 25th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Chicago Bears offensive line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.62 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 29.7 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.

The Chicago Bears O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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