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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Interceptions
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Justin Fields Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders have intercepted 0.18 passes per game this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst defense in football by this stat
  • The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 49.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 26.2 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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