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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Justin Fields Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in the NFL against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season (71.9%).
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 29.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
  • Justin Fields has been among the worst precision passers in the NFL since the start of last season with a 60.4% Completion%, checking in at the 16th percentile.

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