Justin Fields Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Justin Fields to earn 8.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
Taking on 27.1% of his offense's rush attempts this year (92nd percentile among QBs), Justin Fields's mobility makes him a significant weapon with his legs.
The Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's group of safeties has been atrocious since the start of last season, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.

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